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New Year Special
January 2010
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Tourism Stats
Monitor
In the first three
quarters of 2009 the number of total, domestic,
overnight trips has
increased by +6%. This growth has been achieved
through "pure holiday" trips which rose considerably
by +17% in the UK during the January to September
period. This trend continued in September with "pure
holiday" trips up by 16% in the UK compared to
September 2008. Meanwhile business trips have
decreased by -7% in the UK during the same
period. On a positive note the number of business
trips for the month of September rose by 2%.
The number of UK
residents holidaying abroad has continued to drop,
with a year to date drop of -15%. During the month
of September UK residents took 9% less trips and
spent 18% less abroad. The question being asked now
by many tourism businesses is will 2010 show a
similar trend of UK residents staying at home or
will an economic recovery trigger us Brits to look
abroad for our holidaying needs?
Interactive Dashboard
To explore the
dashboard click on the buttons
*VFR = visiting friends and
relatives
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Cumbria Tourism Staycation Barometer
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People were asked to describe the number of
trips they would usually take both in the UK
and abroad in a normal year. They were also
asked to identify any changes they were
planning to the way they holiday over the
next 12 months. This was partly to identify
consumer profiles, and also an attempt to
draw out any evidence of a ‘staycation’
trend, or other changes in consumer
behaviour.

Looking at the
difference between people planning less, or
more, of different types of trips, it
becomes apparent that there is a significant
planned increase over the next 12 months in
the number of day trips and very short
breaks in the UK (1-3 nights). However, with
more people planning to reduce their longer
holidays in the UK (of 8+ nights) and fewer
planning to increase these, there will be a
negative balance here. Longer holidays
involve more nights and the decrease in this
area may well offset the projected increase
in shorter breaks.
Shorter breaks abroad also look to suffer a
small net negative effect but by the end of
2009 longer holidays abroad remain stable –
and even predict a slight increase compared
to the last 12 months.
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UK
Tourism in 2009 - The year of the Staycation?
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It's been
without a doubt a challenging year for
tourism with changing market conditions and
consumer behaviour becoming unpredictable at
the best of times. Some businesses and
holiday locations have clearly benefited
from the so-called 'Staycation' trend while
others have had to innovate, market
themselves more aggressively and simply drop
prices in order to survive. Lets not forget
we are still in a recession and the 'staycation'
is not the only market trend tourism
businesses can rely on for survival. There
have been a number of key market drivers and
trends changing the market which have had
both a positive and negative impact on
British tourism.
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Britons
rediscover the British Holiday
Reflecting the
increased number of holiday trips, seaside
locations have grown considerably since the
start of the year (+20% growth in trips)
while the countryside has also benefited
(+10% increase in trips). Interestingly, in
the month of September, growth to
countryside locations outstripped seaside
growth (+32% growth in countryside trips vs.
11% increase in seaside trips).
Blackpool shook
off its seemingly inevitable yearly decline
by attracting 2 million more guests to the
seaside resort across the last 12 months.
Blackpool Hotel providers report more demand
for beds compared to last winter. Familiar
traditional mainstays of British
vacationing, like Yarmouth, Skegness and
Brighton have all reported similar increases
in holiday activity.
Visitor
attractions in the North East have had
100,000 more visitors on the year
before. The national trust has reported similar
increases in domestic travel with 713,000
people visiting attractions in the North
East alone.
"We have had
a bumper season. What has happened is that
Britons are exploring their own country
again." David Ronn,
National Trust Director
Two thirds
of museums and art galleries have
experienced an increase in visits this year,
according to research conducted by The Art
Fund. The survey was carried out amongst 255 such attractions.
The Royal Horticultural Society have also
seen a turnout 15% higher this year compared
to June to August last year for the events they host, including
the Chelsea and Hampton Court Flower Shows .
Bookings for
campsites, holiday parks, self-catering
cottages and boating breaks are up on last year.
At Butlins, reservations
started the year 10% up on last year.
However figures for the whole year now show
bookings were only up 2% on last year.
Hoseasons, the biggest seller of UK
breaks, has seen bookings for their holiday
parks, cottages, lodges and boats increase
by more than a quarter. The company's chief executive says demand
for UK breaks is greater than it has been
for 25 years.
The Camping
and Caravanning Club sites saw occupancy
increase 8% in 2009, and membership
recruitment levels rocket by some 24%.
Source:
Oct 2009
Telegraph.co.uk, Nov 2009
Ezineaticles.com, Sep 2009
VisitEngland's 'UKTS', Aug 2009
Sky News
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Holidays remain a top priority
despite consumers becoming more cost
conscious
The cost of
travel in the UK and petrol price
volatility
is likely to be a future problem for
domestic tourism.
2.5 million
adults opted to take a full-blown home-based
‘staycation’ – a holiday from their normal
routine, but returning to their own home to
sleep – in 2009.
16%
of consumers agree high rail prices
put them off UK holidays. However
this percentage has dropped from the
22% recorded in 2007.
Expenditure on holidays takes a
nosedive
Earlier in the year research
from
travel
specialist Arkenford reported that
nearly
three quarters of the UK population
(73%) would be reducing spend on
their holidays in 2009. This was far
more than recent research has
suggested. It was also revealed that
only 11% of accommodation and travel
is now booked through third party
web sites (less than the 14 -15%
booked via travel agents).
"These figures are a reflection
of the times – people are downsizing
and also becoming increasingly
independent – and will be food for
thought for many operators." Ben
Moxon, Director of Arkenford
According to
Mintel the growth of Domestic Tourism in
terms of value has lagged, as stay-at-home
holidaymakers have spent less, forcing many
operators and hoteliers to discount. Budget
breaks and attractions have benefited the
most.
Source: Dec 2009
Mintel 'Domestic Tourism', June 2009
Arkenford’s Travel Navigator, Nov 2009
Caterer & Hotelkeeper
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More expensive for Britons to travel
abroad
A continued
unfavourable pound to euro and with the UK
still officially in recession the
predictions of tourists shunning foreign
climates for more homely pleasures have proved
correct. Outbound travel during the first
three quarters of 2009 has dropped
by -15% with a -18% drop in spend
abroad.
Source: Sep 2009
VisitEngland's 'UK Tourism Survey'
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Lack of a British "barbecue summer" drives a
surge of sun seeker abroad
Early
predictions of a "barbecue summer"
helped drive the trend for a so-called "staycation"
with millions of people opting to remain in
Britain this year. But disappointing weather
later drove many to snap up last-minute
offers.
Official
figures confirm a 'staycation' summer with
13 million visits by UK residents to Europe
in April, May and June compared to 14.9
million during the same period in 2008. The
number of visits to North America fell from
1.2 million to 930,000 during the same
period.
However the figures do not take into account
what appears to have been a surge in demand
for holiday travel in late July and August
when the hot summer that was predicted
stubbornly refused to appear.
Heathrow had its third busiest month ever
in July with 6.48 million passengers.
Gatwick, one of Britain's main
bucket and spade airports, showed a sharp
rise in traffic to European sunshine
destinations in July with a 5.8 per cent
rise in passengers in the previous month.
Even Stansted, which has had a tough year,
also showed signs of recovery in July with
the airport seeing the annual decline drop
sharply compared to the previous month.
The
Association of British Travel Agents (ABTA)
saw a 30 per cent increase in summer
bookings for the last two weeks of July.
Travel
website Hotelly.com saw a sharp rise in
holiday bookings as Brits looked for trips
abroad last winter. October bookings
increased by 41 per cent as holidaymakers
searched for warmer climates at some of the
top winter sun destinations including Egypt,
Turkey and the Canary Islands.
"Poor weather in July, together with the
revised Met Office summer forecast, has seen
many UK travellers switch their plans from
domestic to international."
Chris Lee, Head of Travel at
Barclays Commercial.
According to Alex Christou, head of
travel at the management consultants
Accenture, the late surge in demand has also
masked a change in holiday patterns.
Quarter of
Brits will haggle over price with travel
agents
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Figures from the first Visa Europe
Holiday Report reflect news from travel
agents that consumers have become even more
focused on haggling to get a good deal due
to the recession. The report, which surveyed
just over 1,000 holidaymakers online
between the end of May and the
beginning of June, reported 35% of Brits
were planning at least
two holidays this year, and 60% choosing a
beach-based break.
"It looks like people are saving to
have their holiday abroad, with the
notion that holidays are sacrosanct.
Interestingly, it disputes the 'staycation' idea as it
shows people are going [abroad] on holiday.
While camping in the UK is having a
renaissance, it's not a seismic shift, but
people are being less frivolous and ensuring
they get value for money."
Euan Ballantyne,
Head of products and delivery at
Visa Europe
Source:
July 2009
TravelWeekly.com, #1 Aug 2009
Telegraph.co.uk,
#2 Aug 2009
Telegraph.co.uk, Nov 2009
Tenerife News |
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Britons leave Europe behind
The costly euro has forced British
holidaymakers to look at long-haul bargains.
Kenya, South Africa, China and Indonesia
have experienced record increases in
currency sales this summer as Britons look
beyond the eurozone for good-value holidays.
Research by the Post Office confirms the trend of Britons increasingly
to book breaks to long-haul destinations.
Eight of the 10 biggest rises in currency
sales were to long-haul destinations.
Britons have returned to Kenya in growing
numbers. Sales of the Kenyan shilling
are up by 73 per cent from June-August,
compared with the same period last year.
Cut-price packages to Bali and Thailand have
resulted in the sales of the relevant
currencies increase by 54 per cent and 26
per cent respectively this summer.
China has begun to reap the benefits of its
Olympic investment, with Britons buying 27
per cent more yuan than last summer – when
the Games saw hotel rates rise to record
highs in Beijing and beyond.
The biggest declines have been in Eastern
Europe, with sales of the Hungarian, Czech
aJaulgarian currencies falling by up to a
third.
Source:
4 September 2009
Telegraph.co.uk
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53 hotel companies went bust during April to
June 2009
As the effect
of the recession took hold, with business
trips down by -7% for the first three
quarters of 2009, many hotel companies
across the country have felt the squeeze
despite a +17% increase in "pure holiday"
trips. For the first
half of 2009 UK hotels as a whole
saw a 16% fall in average room
prices.
Consumer
perception of UK accommodation being too
expensive has dropped
Consumer
research by Mintel reports
30% of respondents agreed that
‘accommodation in the UK is too expensive.’
This represents a seven percentage point
reduction from the previous survey in 2007.
"Every economic crisis has a silver
lining." In the last quarter of
2009 'The Lonely Planet' guide gave a boost
to our country's capital by naming London
one of the top 10 best-value destinations in
the world.
"London has become much more affordable for
visitors from abroad, if not for its
residents."
Tom Hall, Lonely Planet travel editor
Source: Dec 2009
Mintel, Sep 2009
VisitEngland's 'UK Tourism Survey',
Nov 2009
www.DailyMail.co.uk |
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UK
Tourism in 2010 - The year of the Awaycation?
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There is no doubt
that British breaks have been in fashion. The challenge
will be to keep the holidaymakers coming
back once they have got more money in their
pockets.
Source:
16 August 2009
Sky News
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VisitBritain predicts a year of growth for
2010
VisitBritain forecasts a slight rise of 0.8%
in the volume of inbound tourism to
30.4million, with inbound visitor spending
rising to £17.1 billion, an increase of
nearly 4% on 2009. If sterling remains weak
VisitBritain predicts we could see a steeper
increase in visitor spending than expected.
“These figures from the International
Passenger Survey, and VisitBritain’s
forecasts, suggest that Britain’s tourism is
now heading back in the right direction and
whilst conditions will still be tough, we
believe that the exchange rate will make
Britain attractive and offer exceptional
value for the new year.”
Sandie Dawe,
Chief Executive of VisitBritain
Sterling is
set for another rocky year on the
international exchange markets
“All the indications are that the pound
is not likely to increase against the euro,
indeed, if interest rates are raised [in the
UK] it is possible that it may even succumb
to parity.”
Colin Heal,
Chairman of Worldchoice
David Edwards from VisitBritain, speaking
at the Tourism Society Prospects for 2010,
said ongoing currency problems could help
drive domestic tourism this year following
its success last year. In 2009, 20 million
Brits took a domestic break compared with
eight million in 2007.
“Domestic tourism will remain strong, but
we’ll need to really stay on top of it if we
are to beat the exceptional growth we saw in
2009.”
David Edwards,
Head of Research and Forecasting at
VisitBritian.
Source:
December 2009
The Drum, January 2010
www.travelweekly.co.uk |
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Push staycations or lose business in 2010,
says Hoseasons boss
According to
Mintel a return of
financial and job market security should
release some pent-up demand for trips
abroad; with domestic holidays suffering as
a result.
In the UK, the short break segment should
continue to lead the market with further
ABC1 growth in lifestyle-oriented short
trips and ‘nano-breaks’ with an
experiential, gently active, de-stress or
self-improvement dimension.
Chairman of
Worldchoice, Colin Heal speaking at the
'Tourism Society Prospects for 2010' event,
commented that trading will remain difficult
in 2010 for agents with the economy,
unemployment and the looming general
election all depressing the market.
Travel agents need to plan to maximise the
opportunities of the 'staycation' during
2010 or they risk losing business, Hoseasons
chief executive Richard Carrick has warned.
He claims agents need to adapt if they are
to take advantage of the "seismic shift" in
holiday habits. The warning comes after a
YouGov poll in last weekend's Sunday Times
showed that 54% of Britons plan to take
their main holiday at home in 2010.
UK holidays are expected to remain at
least as popular in 2010 as last year
The YouGov poll for the Sunday Times also showed
that only 11% of Brits who have already
booked a domestic break are planning an
overseas holiday in 2010. Booking figures
from Hoseasons demonstrate that more
consumers have already made a firm financial
commitment to stay in the UK in 2010.
"Our UK bookings for 2010 are up 51.6%
against this time last year. The good news is that the increase is 65.4%
in the trade, which shows that travel agents
have started to take on board the message
that the UK can be good business."
Richard Carrick, Chief executive of Hoseasons
“One of the interesting trends we’ve noticed
is that many of the bookings are for shorter
breaks and that people are staying closer to
home, choosing to holiday near to friends
and family to combine visits with holidays.
“Given that we sell to over one million
customers a year, our figures are a good
barometer for the UK self-catering industry
as a whole and they show that in 2010 the UK
is set to be as popular, if not more, than
in 2009.”
Richard Carrick, Chief executive of Hoseasons
Source:
Dec 2009
Mintel, Dec 2009
The Drum, #1 Jan 2010
Travel Weekly,
#2 August 2009
Travel Weekly, Jan 2010
Travel Mole |
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Short breaks are making a return in
popularity
In a poll of
more than 2,000 people taken by
PricewaterhouseCoopers in December, found a
fifth of respondents core priority this year
was focused on paying off debts on credit
cards, loans and overdrafts.
However, short breaks are making a return in
popularity, moving from eighth place last
year to sixth place this year in the poll of
priority spends.
"Early sentiment indicates that the
travel trade expects summer 2010 to be
broadly flat with 2009 – although there
remains a concern about how some consumer
groups will finance their main holiday, as
average spend per family on an annual
holiday now reaches into the thousands.”
“Last year we saw a big shift to late
booking, due to uncertainty over job
prospects. But this year there may be a
switch back, as the lack of capacity last
summer meant decent late deals were few and
far between.
“Those
consumers who left it too late might be
tempted to book earlier especially if
operators promote deals sooner rather than
later.”
David
Trunkfield, Leisure Director of
PricewaterhouseCoopers
Source: 5 January 2010
TravelWeekly
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Holidaymakers turning their backs on
domestic breaks
According to the poll of 3,000 consumers by
travel site SimonSeeks.com, over half (56%)
of those who holidayed in the UK this year
are turning their backs on the staycation
and are planning to escape to destinations
including Spain, USA and France during 2010.
Of
those going abroad, 41% will cut back on
this year’s holiday budget, saving an
average of £391.
Half
of respondents would cut back on
entertainment and going out for a year to
fund their trip away and the same number of
women would wear last year’s winter wardrobe
to save the money.
Another
four in 10 said they would work overtime to
pay for the holiday, 14 per cent will ditch
home improvements and 41% will start taking
a packed lunch to work.
The survey also
found that holidaymakers will spend an
average of five days researching and
comparing prices before booking their
holiday. Two-thirds would be happy to wait
until the last minute to book if it meant a
cheaper deal.
“The
research reveals a real determination to
travel - especially among those who didn’t
take a holiday overseas in 2009. Staycation
was the buzz word of 2009 but it seems that
2010 is will be more about a compromise
culture, with people giving up short terms
benefits to ensure they can afford that
holiday abroad.”
Chris Nixon,
Commerical Director of SimonSeeks.com
Source: 28 December 2009
www.travelweekly.co.uk
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Agents 'cautiously optimistic' about
summer sales abroad
Agents are “cautiously optimistic” about
summer holiday sales at the start of the
peak period. Advantage saw
sales of summer 2010 packages increase 20%
for the first week after Christmas,
partially driven by a 40% increase for
eastern Mediterranean sales.
“The enquiry levels are up and agents are
very positive as the conversions are there
in very significant numbers.”
Julia Lo Bue-Said, Commercial Director of
Advantage Travel Centres
Worldchoice
said pricing was holding up, with an average
booking price after 29th December 2009 of
£1,000 per person, up from £570 last year.
“Flight-only
and cruise did well and represented more
than half of the bookings.”
Bill Pickering, Operations Director of
Worldchoice
“We
are up around 70% year on year so far. There
are a lot of bargains out there and people
are taking advantage. It has been all summer
holidays so far, no late winter bookings.
Turkey and Egypt are very busy and
all-inclusive is ahead of everything else.”
Johnny Pollard, Commercial Director of On
the Beach
Despite some positive reports, a note of
caution came from a consumer survey for
Travel Weekly by market research company TNS.
It revealed that almost four in 10 customers
do not plan to take a holiday in 2010. Of
those planning a holiday, half said they
would take only one trip, while just one in
five will take three or more.
Source: 7 January 2010
TravelWeekly
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Tourism Innovation
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Lufthansa tool now sending
auto-updates via email
Lufthansa's MySkyStatus
tool gives
travellers the option of having
their flight status updates posted
automatically to either Facebook or
Twitter. After a quick takeup with
over 17,000 automatic
tweets since last month, the German airline
has now expanded the free service with
new capabilities.
The tool now gives users the option
of having their departure, in-flight
location and arrival updates sent
via email as well. Travellers can
choose who will receive their
updates and when; they can also add
a personalised message.
This is just one example of
real-time value add services that
are now possible in the Travel
industry.
Read More > |
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App reveals architecture past,
present & future
When a
camera-equipped smartphone is
pointed at a scene, AR apps will
superimpose information and links
relevant to the location. SARA,
which was created by the Netherlands
Architecture Institute (NAi) is billed as the world’s
first mobile architecture
application featuring augmented
reality with 3D models. Users of the
technology simply hold up their smartphone to see photos, video, 3D
models, scale models and other
details about buildings currently in
situ as well as those from the past
and any planned for the future. The
app is currently showcasing the new
Market Hall in Rotterdam's Blaak
district. Although it's still under
construction, those with the app can
view a 3D model of how the finished
building will look. SARA also allows
users to add their own information
about any building or map tours of
their favourite architecture.
Beginning next month, the entire
city of Rotterdam will be viewable
through SARA, within five years, NAi
expects the whole country to be
covered.
It's not hard to imagine augmented
reality apps like SARA becoming a
key component of tourism, giving
visitors to an area insight about
not just the architecture but also
historical events, walking guides, and other points
of interest. The possibilities are
virtually limitless.
Read More > |
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VisitBritain takes Filmaps concept
to the next level with Sherlock
Holmes
As spotted in the last issue of
TourismTrendSpotter,
Filmaps is a
crowd-powered database of filming
locations around the world. Users
can search by location or film title
to bring up a Google Map that
features location photos from Panoramio and videos from YouTube.
Filmaps adds social elements through
Facebook and Twitter connections, as
well as embeddable location widgets.
Read More >
VisitBritain has launched a new
iPhone app as part of VisitBritain's
film tourism work around the new
Sherlock Holmes film, allowing users
to locate and then visit locations
from their favourite British films.
Read More > |
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Cumbria Tourism Research
Research currently being carried out:
Research
with 1,800 active outdoor enthusiasts into
holiday habits and preferences, being
complemented by research with activity
providers planned for later this month. The
consumer research revealed that ‘relaxing in
a pleasant environment’, ‘occasional
activities’ and ‘sightseeing’ were the most
compelling reasons for making a trip. 42%
had already been to Cumbria for outdoor
activities, and 28% would be interested in
doing so through an official activity
provider – revealing some untapped potential
for this market.
Research
with 200 visitor attractions and large
accommodation providers into the size and
nature of coach/group tourism. This market
is estimated to be worth £85m a year to the
county – about 7% of Cumbria’s tourism
revenue.
Annual
visitor attractions survey to quantify
visitor numbers throughout 2009 and identify
trends
Research
with businesses in Windermere, Kendal and
Ulverston about the value of the local TIC
to business and visitors
Research
with 582 people completing the 2009 Great
North Swim which revealed that 12% were on
their first ever visit to the area, 87% came
from outside of the county, 65% of visitors
stayed overnight, 81% said they planned to
return in the next 2 years and 83% would
like to do another swim. The event was
estimated to have drawn in £1.5m in tourism
value to the county. Similar research for
the 2009 Kendal Mountain Festival is
underway.
Research
with almost 250 visitors who received a
welcome pack after booking a trip through
the golakes website to see how useful they
found the information
Surveys
with 2,683 visitors across the county to
update the 2006 Visitor Survey and produce
the latest report on our county’s visitor
profile, including spend, information
sources, motivations, activities undertaken,
visitor origin, visitor type and
satisfaction. Final report due to be
published in February.
Business
survey being conducted this month to
identify tourism performance in the last
couple of months following November’s floods
and the recent big freeze……
To find out more about these reports or
surveys please contact us.
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